George Mason University Patriot Open 2026

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 ANGELOS Nico 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
3 CHANG Xavier 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 17% 3%
3 RAMESH prashvin 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
5 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
6 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
7 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
8 SINGH Meet 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
9 CORTES Calvin 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
10 CHANG Zane 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
11 BLUHM Kyle 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% 1%
12 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
13 PONCET Sarah 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
14 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
15 HERCE-DUCHINI Anika 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
16 LEE Jet 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
17 CONANT Aidan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
18 KONTANIS Linus 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 5% -
19 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
20 SELSER Ella 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
21 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
22 BOLTON Max 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 16% 3%
22 VILINSKIS Caroline 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
24 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
25 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
26 WENZEL Stephen 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
27 KWIATKOWSKI Matthew 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
28 JEROME Trevor 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
29 IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
30 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 7% -
31 WARE Chase 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
32 MILLER Ethan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
33 YEE Calvin 100% 96% 73% 36% 11% 2% -
34 PARKER Joseph 100% 74% 28% 6% 1% - -
35 JONES Zamauri 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
36 STADTHER Christopher J. 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
37 FISHER Edward 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
38 QUINTERO Timothy 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
39 TRUDEAU Allison 100% 91% 50% 11% 1% - -
40 PROFFITT Benjamin 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
41 JACOFF Amelia 100% 19% 1% - - - -
42 REARDON Caleb 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.