AFM Veteran Epee Cup - Event #4

Veteran Men's Épée

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM

AFM Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIRBU Dan 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
2 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
3 BECK Brian 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
3 MARKOFF Gabriel 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
5 MURRAY Stephen 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
6 KOERBER Christopher 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 9%
7 ZHEREBCHEVSKIY Evgenii 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
8 LOGUE Paul 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
9 ABELE Chris 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
10 HUANG Jen-Chieh 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
11 CHEN Zhijun 100% 98% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
12 SHING Michael 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
13 LIU Bobby 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 13%
14 DUONG John 100% 84% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
15 JEFFERIES Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
16 DOLNIK Vlad 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
17 KIRLI Tunc 100% 94% 53% 12% 1% - -
18 WAGENAAR Hendrik 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
19 LIPP Robert 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
20 BOND Stephen 100% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.