Absolute Clash SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
2 NGO Emerson 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
3 WONG Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
3 LI Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
5 TRZEPLA Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
6 HU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
7 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
8 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
9 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
10 YU xiaodao 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
11 SUH Leo 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
12 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
13 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
14 SAYAR Luke 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
15 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
16 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
17 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
18 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 8%
19 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
20 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
21 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
22 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
23 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
24 WANG Edward 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
25 CAI Jeff 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
26 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
27 LEVIN Jacob 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2%
28 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 88% 48% 12% 1%
29 FOUX Jonathan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
30 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
31 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6%
32 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
33 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
33 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
35 MOON Noah 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
36 LLOYD Max 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
37 HU Andrew 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
38 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
39 YAO John 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
40 SO Morgan 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
41 WONG Reagan 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
42 TASIKAS Pete 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
43 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
44 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 90% 50% 13% 2% -
45 BUKZIN Alan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
46 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
47 LOO Jason 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
48 GUERRA Corey 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
49 KOREN David 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
50 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
51 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
52 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
53 LI Lucas 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
54 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
55 YU Ronen 100% 92% 40% 8% 1% -
56 LIU ERIC 100% 100% 99% 84% 44% 9%
56 RODRIGUEZ Dylan 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
58 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
59 PADANILAM Thomas 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% 1%
60 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
61 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
62 BIVIJI Adam 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
63 SONG Ryan 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
64 ZHANG Joseph 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
65 AWAD Omar 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% -
66 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 4%
67 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
68 LAU Kyrus 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
69 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
70 BRADIC Andreja 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
71 GUCCIARDI Francesco 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
72 CHIANG Ethan 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% -
73 CHEN Harrison 100% 64% 19% 3% - -
74 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
75 TAKEBE Ren 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
76 BARAVARIAN Cole 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
77 RAMONDINI Levi 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
78 CUSSON William 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
79 SUN Stephen 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
80 LEIGH Brayden 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
81 LIU Andy 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
83 FILMORE Samuel 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
84 PILLAI Akshay 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
84 MOFFITT William 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
87 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 75% 27% 5% - -
88 GAIDA Ashton 100% 89% 54% 18% 2% -
89 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 74% 29% 5% 1% - -
90 LEE SungYup 100% 20% 1% - - -
90 LI Kent 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
92 MCKNIGHT Jackson 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.