Event Preview
January NACMonday, January 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4078 | 4354 - 3956 |
| 5 - 8 | 3844 | 3876 - 3800 |
| 9 - 16 | 3748 | 3817 - 3672 |
| 17 - 32 | 3493 | 3655 - 3369 |
| 33 - 64 | 3189 | 3349 - 3080 |
| 65 - 128 | 2758 | 3428 - 2404 |
| 129 - 162 | 2126 | 2693 - 1241 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.