Event Preview
January NACMonday, January 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4082 | 4373 - 3950 |
| 5 - 8 | 3848 | 3891 - 3800 |
| 9 - 16 | 3746 | 3817 - 3655 |
| 17 - 32 | 3490 | 3640 - 3359 |
| 33 - 64 | 3185 | 3349 - 3075 |
| 65 - 128 | 2757 | 3428 - 2388 |
| 129 - 162 | 2126 | 2693 - 1241 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.