Paul Pesthy Memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center, Hall 4A - San Antonio, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 COONEY Kyla 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
2 REEVES Hannah 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
3 MORTON Penelope 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
3 ZANGIROLAMI FERRER Isabella 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% < 1%
5 BELL Paisley 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
6 DAVIS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
7 YINGLING June 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
8 HO Mirabel 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
9 SECORE Elisabeth 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1%
10 CHOI Reina 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
11 ZHAO Mia 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
12 SALDIVAR Eleonor 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.