AZ Summer National Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy NEW - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 ABROSIMOV Rus 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
2 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
3 KING Charles M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 HERRON Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
5 WELLING Cohen 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
6 WALLIS Wyatt 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
7 DEAN Samuel 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
8 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
9 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
10 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
11 COLE Perrin 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
12 DEAN Isaac 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% - -
13 ARISHITA Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
14 ROLDAN Ethan 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% - -
15 BIGSBY Joaquin 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
16 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 85% 51% 20% 5% 1% - -
17 BLUM Chaston 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
18 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 49% 17% 3%
19 CORDASCO Caleb 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
20 WALLACE Roger 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
21 MACMILLAN Daniel 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3% -
22 SARMIENTO John 100% 97% 73% 36% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.