3rd Annual Bama Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM

The University of Alabama Recreation Center - Tuscaloosa, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
2 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 RAY William 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 FRY Hudson 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
5 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
6 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
7 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
8 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
9 HUNTER James 100% 96% 73% 31% 3%
10 BURRUSS Aaron 100% 100% 94% 57% 9%
11 WERTH Mario 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 3%
12 FOSTER Andrew 100% 86% 46% 11% -
13 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 98% 83% 42% 3%
14 OLSON Lucas 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 2%
15 MANNING Jackson 100% 90% 54% 16% 2%
16 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
17 HALVERSON Spencer 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
18 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
19 CHAPPELL Lydia 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
20 BARRETT John 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
21 MERVOSH Elizabeth 100% 95% 71% 33% 6%
22 HANNER Robert 100% 97% 38% 6% -
23 VOGT VON HESELHOLT Dr. Tobias 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
24 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 98% 79% 36% 7% -
25 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 78% 34% 6% -
26 BANHOLZER Connor 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
27 JACKSON Nathan 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 1%
28 STEWART Brian 100% 100% 89% 42% 7%
29 NOLL Jack 100% 86% 46% 12% 1%
30 CHAILLOU Jonah 100% 99% 61% 17% 2% -
31 EDWARDS John 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
32 SUMMEY Travis 100% 57% 15% 2% -
33 GIGNILLIAT Ryker 100% 83% 40% 7% -
34 MILLER Faith 100% 87% 53% 18% 2%
34 VARNER Kathryn 100% 8% - - -
36 TRAHAN Cooper 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
37 ACCORNERO Aidan 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
38 WOLLITZ Addison 100% 27% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.