George Mason University Patriot Open 2026

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 71% 28%
2 HERNANDEZ Javier 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
3 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
3 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 19%
5 WANG Ziyao 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
6 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
7 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 57% 16%
8 PIÑOL Annika 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
9 HAMILTON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 8%
10 PAGAN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 89% 41% 4%
11 MOYD Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
12 LIAO Sirui 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
13 GOSNELL James 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
14 URQUILLA Devin 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
15 KANE Kiran 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
15 LAUDO Joseph 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
17 BROOKS Isaac 100% 81% 42% 12% 1% -
18 HEANEY Sam 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
19 SILK Ryan 100% 89% 40% 4% - -
20 CONANT Aidan 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
21 JIN Adam 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1% -
22 DADIO Daniel 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
23 ELIAN David 100% 100% 100% 95% 58% 10%
24 WALLACE George 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
25 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
26 JONES Victory 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
27 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
28 ALPAN Arda 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
29 WHITE Myles 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
29 CEDENO Andres 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
29 WIZEMAN Nathan 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
32 NGUYEN Anna 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
33 URIBE David 100% 95% 58% 11% 1% -
34 YAMATANI Michael 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
35 SMITH Connor 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
36 SIMS Martin L. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
37 TEPLESKY Sasha 100% 36% 4% - - -
38 ZHOU Deborah 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.