AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HUANG Jui-An 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
2 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
3 WONG Kora 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
3 TAN Elliana 100% 96% 63% 21% 3%
5 LUO Xinyue 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
6 HENDERSON Ella 100% 98% 77% 33% 5%
7 MUKKU Emily 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
8 LI zoey 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
9 TRUONG Chloe 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
10 VISHWA Nishta 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
11 ALI Maryum 100% 100% 94% 65% 21%
12 AGLIPAY Alyssa 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
13 JHA Aanvi 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
14 REDDY Annika 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
15 CHANG Mina 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
16 LI Elaine 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
17 PARK Christine 100% 25% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.