AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MUKKU Emily 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
2 YU Jiaming Lisa 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 CHADHA Ditvi 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
3 LI Elaine 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
5 LIU Aubrey 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
6 LUO Xinyue 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
7 LEE Elizabeth (Lizzie) 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
8 WONG Kora 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
9 HENDERSON Ella 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
10 PARK Christine 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
11 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1%
12 NAYAR Saisha 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
13 AGLIPAY Alyssa 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
14 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1%
15 MULCHANDANI Anya 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
16 ZHOU Emily 100% 37% 6% - - -
17 YE Charlotte 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% -
18 CHALFIN Samantha 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.