AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Cadet Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 SAMOYLOV Daniel - - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
2 LUCENAY Samuel - - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
3 YU Haoyun Timothy - 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
3 REYES Landon - - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
5 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 5% 21% 33% 26% 12% 3% - -
6 LOUIE Kyle 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 3% - -
7 RIVERA Natalie 5% 19% 31% 27% 14% 4% 1% -
8 XIE Ethan 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.