Ref Observational Bay Cup at HALB: XF1, XE1, XS1

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Halberstadt Fencers' Club - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Frank - 4% 15% 29% 30% 17% 4%
2 DEW Eric - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
3 SIMAUCHI Andres 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% < 1%
3 MCPHERSON Matthew - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
5 NGUYEN Audrey 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
6 VAN Tyson 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
7 BENAVIDEZ Victor 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.