Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | BECKER Thomas | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 3 | COLWELL Alex | V V V V V | V V D | 1.8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 3 | HUDSON Greg | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 5 | GREEN Nicholas | V V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 6 | DALTON Matthew | D V V V D | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 7 | CHANG Aubin | D V V D V | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 9 | MEYERS Peter | V D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 10 | HARM Michael | V V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 11 | ALARIE James | V D V D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 12 | GREEN Zachary | D V V D V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 13 | OWENS Nathan J | D V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 14 | MORRISON Chris | V D D D V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 15 | NORCONK Craig | V V D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 16 | HENDRIAN Rachel | V D D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 17 | NORCONK Claire | V D V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 19 | GRIFFIN Martha A. | D V V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 20 | SAGE Kayla | V D D D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 21 | OWENS Andrew | V D D V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 22 | DRAYTON Hannah | D V D V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 23 | GREEN Scott | D D D V V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 24 | BASS Simon | D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 25 | MAYO Eric | D D D V D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 26 | GREEN Douglas | D D V D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 27 | NICHOLSON Dwayne | D V D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 28 | MCBURNEY Karen | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 29 | LESPERANCE Jordan | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 30 | SOMERLOTT Logan | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.