Midwest RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - BARRINGTON, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SOHONI Vir 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
2 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
3 HOHMAN Elias 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
3 LIU Maximilian 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
5 MBERIA Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 ABEZGAUZ Ariel 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
7 FILKOV Timur 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
8 AGRAWAL Ariv 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
9 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
10 ANDREWS Elliott 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
11 MOY Taiyo 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
12 NOCON Garrison 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5%
13 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
14 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% -
15 CHU Isaac 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
16 COUPER Jack 100% 38% 6% 1% - -
17 ECCLESTONE Liam 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
18 SCHULTE Noah 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.