Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 KIM Ines 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 19%
3 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
3 THOTA Akira 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
5 PAN Samantha 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
6 GUO Jianing 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 15%
7 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
8 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
9 GOWDA Adisha 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% -
10 HOM Emma 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
10 LI Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
12 CHOI Jian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
13 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 60% 15%
14 TUNG Alison 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% -
15 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
16 SHU Kayla 100% 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% -
17 DONG Nancy 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
18 VALOUEVA Katerina 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1%
19 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
20 LAI Olivia 100% 95% 68% 25% 3%
21 LIN Avery 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
22 MAHAPATRA Alisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
23 KHANAL Sarah 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
24 LUO Olivia 100% 94% 64% 22% 2%
25 TIAN Claire 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 9%
26 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 96% 73% 24% 2%
27 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
28 CHEN Celina 100% 82% 36% 7% - -
29 STOCK Nina 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
30 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
31 LI Claire 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
32 ALEKSANDROVA Mira 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 5% -
33 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
34 KUO Esme 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% 1% -
35 PICACHE Camilla 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
36 DONG Ena 100% 96% 74% 34% 6% -
37 SCHOR Katherine 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
38 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 84% 40% 7% - -
39 MABRY Vivienne 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
40 HSU Courtney 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
41 GU Alexandra 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
42 JUSON Julianne Missing ID
43 WANG Muse 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
44 ROSIN Milena 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
45 GAO Nicole 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
46 SU Hermione Su 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
47 LIN Vienna 100% 85% 42% 8% - -
48 SOUSA Lauren 100% 92% 58% 16% 2% -
48 MISSON Arya 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
50 LEE Juniper 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
51 MAHAJAN Mira 100% 69% 13% 1% - - -
52 YANG Claire 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
53 GUO Christine 100% 60% 17% 2% -
54 CHENG Jessica 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% - -
55 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 100% 74% 25% 4% - -
56 KUO Liang-Jun 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
57 SHUM KEIRA 100% 45% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.