Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DEFENSOR Ella - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
2 GAO Nicole - 3% 19% 44% 34%
3 WAGENAAR Ava 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
3 HWANG Faith 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
5 RANADE Ira 12% 42% 36% 9% 1% -
6 YE Charlotte 12% 38% 36% 12% 1%
7 DAVIS Sophia - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
8 YU Elise 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
9 WU Avery - - 6% 30% 47% 17%
10 YAO Astrid 29% 44% 23% 5% -
11 TAN Elizabeth 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
12 WALKER Kayla - 2% 17% 45% 30% 5%
13 MULCHANDANI Trisha 9% 33% 39% 17% 2%
14 HSU Audrey 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
15 WANG Elizabeth 7% 36% 43% 12% 1% -
16 TSE Etty 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
17 NISHIYAMA Emma 47% 41% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.