7th Annual Precision Invitational RYC and RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, April 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KENSICKI Phoebe	-	-	-	-	6%	32%	61%
2	MIYASHIRO Katelyn	-	-	-	1%	11%	39%	49%
3	LUCAS Ava	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	6%
3	JIN Jada Y	-	-	3%	19%	40%	31%	6%
5	ZHANG Hannah	-	3%	16%	36%	33%	11%
6	FANG Kelervia	-	1%	5%	21%	42%	31%
7	RUI Jessie	-	-	4%	18%	42%	35%
7	AHN Hayley	2%	15%	35%	33%	13%	2%
9	DESAI Zoya	-	3%	16%	37%	35%	10%
10	CHOI Jian	-	2%	13%	33%	35%	15%	2%
11	KIM Natalie	-	-	-	3%	20%	45%	32%
12	HSU Emily	-	-	4%	21%	41%	29%	5%
13	GOWDA Siyona	-	1%	7%	28%	40%	22%	3%
14	SAIFEE Zahra	-	-	2%	18%	42%	31%	7%
15	DEJOY Leilah	-	6%	29%	39%	21%	4%	-
16	CHEN Madeleine	2%	17%	38%	31%	10%	1%
17	YU Xintong	1%	6%	22%	37%	26%	8%	1%
18	KIM Lauren	-	2%	15%	35%	35%	12%
19	CHUNG Katie	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	11%
20	DENG Claire	-	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	21%
20	TU Averie	-	1%	16%	44%	30%	8%	1%
22	WANG Doreen	-	-	-	7%	30%	44%	19%
23	TEWARI Amaira	1%	9%	30%	38%	19%	3%
24	YANG Hanli	-	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	23%
25	CHEN Summer	-	-	6%	26%	40%	24%	3%
26	SAIFEE Sakina	-	4%	25%	41%	24%	5%	-
27	YUNG Zoe	1%	7%	27%	38%	23%	5%
28	LIM Kensie	1%	8%	27%	37%	22%	4%
29	WANG Ellen	3%	25%	40%	24%	6%	1%
30	SANTIAGO Rania	3%	17%	36%	31%	12%	2%	-
31	FAN Lauren	1%	12%	49%	31%	7%	1%	-
32	LIN Clara	18%	40%	31%	10%	2%	-
33	KIM Rylie	-	2%	19%	39%	30%	9%	1%
34	CROWDER jordan Ali	-	7%	32%	39%	18%	3%	-
35	DOMANTAY Sophia	60%	35%	5%	-	-	-	-
36	CHOI Mackenzie	33%	54%	12%	1%	-	-	-
37	CAO Alexandra	26%	46%	23%	5%	-	-
38	CHO Rylee	64%	30%	5%	-	-	-
39	HUANG Veronica	13%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
40	YUEN Hannah	42%	46%	11%	1%	-	-	-
41	POON Taylor	20%	55%	22%	3%	-	-	-
42	BHANGOO Paloma	21%	41%	28%	9%	1%	-
43	SHIN Ellie	50%	44%	6%	-	-	-	-
44	ARCE BASURCO Juliana	31%	46%	20%	4%	-	-
45	YOU Mina	33%	51%	15%	2%	-	-	-
45	SUTTON Sadie	34%	43%	19%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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