USACFC 2026 Championship

Porthos Saber

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Center - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAN Daniel Y. 100% - - - - - < 1%
2 TOZZI Massimo 100% - - - - < 1%
3 PENSWATER III John J. 100% - - - - - < 1%
3 MCGUIRE Christian 100% - - - < 1%
5 WEBER Mattias A. 100% - - - - < 1%
7 KESSLER Josh 100% - - - < 1%
9 XIE Eric 100% - - - - < 1%
10 ELIAN David 100% - - - - < 1% -
11 NARANJO David E. 100% - - - - < 1% -
12 PARK Jesse 100% - - < 1% -
13 JORDAN Bryce 100% - - - < 1% - -
14 KIM Jeremy Y. 100% - - < 1% - -
15 BHATIA Ekam 100% - - - < 1% - -
16 GIORDANO Nicholas 100% - < 1% - - - -
17 LO Alexander 100% - - - < 1%
18 OWENS Celine A. 100% - - - - < 1%
19 ARCE GUIRRE Manuel 100% - - - - < 1%
20 YAMANI Yousuf 100% - - - - - < 1%
21 SHARMA Romir 100% - - - - < 1%
22 KTSANES Charlie 100% - - - - - < 1%
23 BERGER Jacob 100% - - < 1% -
24 SEWARD Darian 100% - - - - < 1% -
25 STEVENSON David 100% - - - - < 1% -
27 GOSNELL James 100% - - - < 1% -
28 ARORA Pranav 100% - - - < 1% - -
29 CHENG Cody 100% - - < 1% - -
30 BEAUCHAMP Declan 100% - - - < 1% - -
31 ROBERTS Alyssa 100% - - < 1% - -
33 WONG Austin 100% - - - - - < 1%
34 HAMILTON Jacob 100% - - - - < 1%
35 NGUYEN Khang 100% - - - < 1%
36 AYOOB Zidan 100% - - - - - < 1%
37 ZHOU Leo 100% - - - - < 1% -
38 ZHANG Chuanxi 100% - - - < 1% -
39 GOODIER Grayson 100% - - - - < 1% -
40 ZISLIN Benjamin 100% - - - - < 1% -
41 BERRY Sophia 100% - - - < 1% -
42 JAFAR Abdullah 100% - - - < 1% -
44 CUNNINGHAM Rowan 100% - - - < 1% - -
45 SILVERMAN Zachary 100% - - - < 1% - -
46 SEMP Brannon A. 100% - - < 1% - -
47 BALMASEDA Sabrina F. 100% - - - < 1% - -
48 ST JEAN Jared 100% - - - < 1% - -
49 HOANG Joseph 100% - - < 1% - -
50 WALLACE Harrison 100% - - - < 1% - -
51 GRECO Caden 100% - - - < 1% - -
52 HADAWAY Maxwell 100% - - - < 1% - -
54 BAHARUDIN Jayden 100% - - < 1% - -
55 DURGIN Sian 100% - - < 1% - -
56 CHIANG Sydney 100% - - < 1% - -
57 LIAO Siwen 100% - - < 1% - - -
59 BECKSTRAND Kohler 100% - - < 1% -
60 NAREDDY Akhilesh 100% - < 1% - -
61 JAYASANKAR Hari 100% - - < 1% - - -
62 GAVALAS Daniella 100% - < 1% - - -
63 LEE Sophia 100% - < 1% - -
64 RIVABEM William 100% - < 1% - - - -
65 JEAN-BAPTISTE Luc 100% - - - < 1% - -
66 WELHAM Charlie 100% - - < 1% - -
67 CARPENTER Sean 100% - - - < 1%
68 JIANG Bianca 100% - - - < 1% - -
69 NAMBIAR Pranav 100% - < 1% - -
70 KUMAR Mahatwa 100% - - < 1% - - -
71 PLAVETZKY Katherine 100% - - < 1% -
72 PHAM Quan 100% - - < 1% - -
73 SITU Jet 100% - - < 1% - -
74 LEE Joonseo 100% < 1% - - -
74 EDDINGS Cordell 100% - - < 1% - - -
77 SILK Ryan 100% - - < 1% - - -
78 PHAM Elaine 100% - < 1% - - -
78 MARTIN Zak 100% - < 1% - - -
80 HAHN Rebecca 100% - < 1% - -
81 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% - < 1% - - -
82 LIU Yangyang 100% - < 1% - - -
83 GONTARSKI Rachel 100% - < 1% - - - -
84 WANG Erica 100% - < 1% - - - -
85 YUCHUCK Jack 100% - - - -
86 PALISOUL Allison 100% - < 1% - - - -
87 WADDY Michaela 100% < 1% - - -
88 OSLAND Haakon 100% - < 1% - - - -
89 DONG Zihan 100% - < 1% - - - -
90 VIHODET Irina 100% < 1% - - - -
92 URIBE David 100% < 1% - - -
93 WICKERSHAM Brooklyn 100% - < 1% - - - -
94 WILLIAMS Henry 100% - < 1% - - - -
96 PIKRAMENOS Alexandra 100% - < 1% - - - -
97 LEAVITT Jane 100% < 1% - - - -
98 O’CONNOR Autumn 100% < 1% - - - -
99 LEE Angela 100% - < 1% - -
100 CAI Victor 100% - < 1% - - - -
101 HARADA Ellie 100% - < 1% - - - -
102 WU Audrey 100% < 1% - - - -
103 PELLETIER Skylar 100% < 1% - - -
104 MORNINGSTAR Olivia 100% < 1% - - - -
105 HSU Aristaeus 100% < 1% - - - -
106 QUINN CJ 100% < 1% - - -
107 WALBERT Charlotte B. 100% < 1% - - - - -
108 OLIVEIRA Thomas 100% < 1% - - - - -
109 WORD Marlena 100% < 1% - - - -
110 MCMANAMNA Mira 100% - - - -
111 CRESSWELL Lochlann 100% < 1% - - - -
112 JOSHI Sanika 100% < 1% - - - -
113 ZHU Samuel 100% < 1% - - -
114 CLARK Meghan 100% < 1% - - - -
114 DUGAL Dory 100% < 1% - - -
114 LYONS Trinity 100% < 1% - - -
114 BEARDSLEY Taryn 100% < 1% - - - - -
118 YAO Xubing 100% < 1% - - - - -
119 TRAUTENBERG Lauren 100% < 1% - - - - -
121 WU XiaoAn 100% < 1% - - - - -
122 OLMEN Kelsey 100% < 1% - - - -
123 PFEFFERMAN Jonas 100% - - - - - -
125 TAI Madeline 100% - - - - -
126 VARKI Simon 100% - - - - -
126 SNYDER Elliot 100% - - - - - -
128 ALJOHANI Mariya 100% - - - - -
129 COMPTON Liliana 100% - - - - - -
130 TIAN Janet 100% - - - - - -
131 ZHU Eddy 100% - - - - - -
132 CRISTOBAL Ethan 100% - - - -
133 WISE Shobi 100% - - - - - -
133 MOCKLAR Zoe 100% - - - - - -
136 WALTERS Rowan 100% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.