University of Arizona - Tucson, AZ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith | V V V V V D | V V V V V | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 2 | BLUM Chaston | V V D V D V | V V V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 3 | NEUMANN Freya | D V V V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 3 | KAPASHIKOV Constantine | D V D V V | V V V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 5 | BINDER Ayven | V V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 6 | CHEN Chang Chun | D D V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 7 | ROLDAN Ethan | V D V V D | V V V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 8 | MATTA Sebastian | V V D D D V | V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 9 | HERRON Jonathan | V V V V D V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 10 | WALLIS Wyatt | V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 11 | TAARIQ Tanisha | V V D D V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 12 | HOWIE Ryan | D V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 13 | PABLO Jesse | D D V V D | V V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 14 | RAJPRABHU Pranesh | D D V D V D | V V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 15 | KELLEHER Cash | V D D D D D | V V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 16 | CHENIER Amelia | D D D D D | V V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 17 | BROWNING Abraham | V V V V V V | D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 18 | ORELUP Austin | V V V V V | D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 19 | STAFURIK John (Jack) W. | D V V V V V | D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 20 | FESTIN Michael G. | V V D V V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 21 | CRUZ Jr Alberto | V V V D V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 22 | COIMBATORE Dillon | D V D V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 23 | SCHWENK Cody D. | V V V V D D | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 24 | FEDERICO William | V D V D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 25 | PABLO Sebastian | D V V D V V | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 26 | ASKEW Annabel | D D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 27 | FORBES Samantha | D V V D V | V D | 0.8 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 28 | CORDASCO Caleb | D V V D V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 29 | FRANZ Lyllian | D V D V D V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 30 | FELDMAN Louis | D V D V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 31 | SANBORN Dimitri | D V D V D | V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 32 | PORRAS Michael | D D D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 33 | WANG Rienna | V D D V D V | D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 34 | CUEVAS Tom | V V V D D D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 35 | SMITH Samuel J. | V D D V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 36 | FOX Jackson | D V D V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 37 | ANDERSON Donald | D D V V D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 38 | MORGAN Elijah | D D V D V D | D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 39 | SARMIENTO John | D V D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 40 | MARTINEZ Landon | V D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 41 | ADELSON Michael | D D D D V D | D | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| 42 | ALLEN Sydney | V D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 43 | CHAVEZ Andres | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 44 | KEYSER PACHECO ofelia | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 45 | ROLDAN Madison | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 46 | FRUMKIN Lucia | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.