UAH Rocket City Open 2026

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 8:30 AM

UAH University Fitness Center - Huntsville, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 HUGHES Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 34%
3 BELL Leo P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 5%
3 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
5 BUZINKAI Brennan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
6 BURRUSS Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
7 DING Tommy 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
8 MEILAN William 100% 100% 90% 59% 21% 3%
9 FOSTER Andrew 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
10 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
11 CHAPPELL Lydia 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
12 OLSON Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
13 VOGT VON HESELHOLT Dr. Tobias 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 16%
14 POWERS Robert 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
15 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
16 IBANEZ Julien 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
17 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
18 LEE Eunjae 100% 100% 99% 80% 35% 6% < 1%
20 HALVERSON Spencer 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
21 HANNER Robert 100% 99% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
22 HUNTER James 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
23 CHAILLOU Jonah 100% 100% 99% 65% 22% 3% -
24 PELLI Madeleine 100% 100% 94% 59% 18% 2%
25 JACKSON Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
26 WOLLITZ Addison 100% 76% 21% 2% - -
27 WYCKOFF Nicholas (Nick Wyckoff) M. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
28 LEPESQUEUR Hiago 100% 95% 72% 32% 5% -
29 MANNING Jackson 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
30 EDWARDS John 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
31 SMITH Grayson 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
32 LENTINI Christopher 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
33 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 56% 13% 1% < 1% -
34 KEMLE Brian 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
35 SIMMONS John 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
36 MCNAIR William 100% 99% 89% 53% 12% 1%
37 BANHOLZER Connor 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
38 SUMMEY Travis 100% 98% 78% 32% 6% -
39 HAAS Lindsey 100% 97% 80% 40% 9% -
40 VON KLAR Rhiannon 100% 90% 53% 13% 1% -
41 MERVOSH Elizabeth 100% 100% 94% 45% 9% 1%
42 LAWRENCE Mason 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 15% 1%
43 SINDBERG Ali 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
44 CARON Lucas 100% 77% 34% 7% - -
45 GIGNILLIAT Ryker 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
46 KIARIGA Garang 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
47 NEIMAN James 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
48 SANDERS Chloe 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
49 MIHILL Margaret 100% 81% 36% 7% - -
51 SAYLEE Madison-Pokey 100% 78% 34% 6% - - -
52 CSONTOS Alice 100% 75% 27% 2% - - -
53 HERNDON Rylee 100% 33% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.