Asheville Spring C&Under Tournament

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Asheville Catholic School - Asheville, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HICKS Matthew 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
2 PERI Mourya 100% 99% 49% 10% 1% -
3 THOMPSON Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 98% 79% 33% 5% -
5 BEACH Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
6 MALONE Jacob 100% 97% 77% 37% 6%
7 COLLINS Andrew V. 100% 100% 93% 60% 17% 1%
8 FUNK Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
9 SHELLABARGER Stephen 100% 93% 63% 21% 2%
10 KINDEL Amara 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
11 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 16%
12 BARRETT John 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
13 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 73% 29% 5% -
14 GROSE Christopher 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% -
15 HAZEL Susan L. 100% 15% 1% - - -
16 SMITH Andrew 100% 99% 81% 40% 8% -
17 WATSON Tate 100% 93% 51% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.