Results of Y-12 Mixed Épée - NYFA Youth Cup #5

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM

NYFA Brooklyn - Brooklyn, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
1	MASKIN Mikhail	100%	100%	100%	100%	97%	83%	44%
2	LAI Jayden	100%	100%	100%	95%	77%	40%	9%
3	CHEN Madeline	100%	100%	100%	100%	98%	86%	56%	18%
3	TANG Jayce	100%	100%	98%	87%	61%	28%	7%	1%
5	GUJJA Rishabh	100%	100%	100%	98%	85%	52%	15%
6	BUTLER Xavier	100%	100%	100%	97%	81%	43%	8%
7	VILLER Alice	100%	100%	100%	97%	84%	50%	13%
8	GURTIN Aleksandra	100%	96%	76%	40%	12%	2%	-
9	PENG Leo	100%	99%	89%	60%	24%	5%	-
10	MOKRETSOV Leah	100%	100%	100%	100%	98%	88%	59%	19%
11	TUTELMAN Shon	100%	86%	52%	21%	5%	1%	-	-
12	GORE Noah	100%	98%	85%	56%	23%	5%	-	-
13	VILLER Gabriella	100%	98%	81%	46%	15%	2%	-
14	LU Shawn	100%	100%	98%	87%	63%	31%	9%	1%
15	SALIBA Jackson	100%	100%	95%	74%	37%	9%	1%
16	ZHANG Renkui	100%	99%	88%	60%	25%	5%	-
17	HWANG Chase	100%	92%	64%	29%	8%	1%	-	-
18	CHERNYAK Abigail	100%	62%	21%	4%	-	-	-
19	MAK Nolan	100%	98%	85%	53%	20%	4%	-
20	NEMAT Kamila	100%	78%	32%	6%	1%	-	-
21	SALIBA Madison	100%	99%	89%	62%	28%	7%	1%	-
22	YEE Bruce	100%	80%	40%	11%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.

The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.

The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.

By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

NYFA Youth Cup #5

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Probability density of pool victories

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Explanation