New Jersey Division Summer National Qualifier 2026

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 10:15 AM

Medeo Fencing Club - Bridgewater, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
2 CARMAN Elliot 100% 93% 62% 21% 2%
3 LOPEZ-SIMPSON Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 LEE Ryan 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
5 HONG Ethen 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
6 KIM Louie 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
7 MANTINAOS Constantinos 100% 95% 69% 30% 6%
8 GOSUKONDA NACHIKETA 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 3%
9 LEE Connor 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
10 TSIEN Richard 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
11 LUR'YE Killian 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
12 PILLAI Aditya 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
13 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
14 WACLAWSKI Maciej 100% 98% 77% 35% 6%
15 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
16 PROULX Nico 100% 81% 39% 9% 1%
17 XIE Richard 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
18 PONDACO Frankee 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
19 ANDERSON Connor 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
20 OBER James 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
20 LIU Darren 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
22 VAN DOREN William 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
23 WU Caden 100% 50% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.