Spring Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Seacoast Fencing Club- Rochester - Rochester, NH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 36%
2 SONG Changze 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
3 O'BRIEN Eamon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
3 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
5 WANG justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
6 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 47%
7 GU Eric 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
8 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
9 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
10 PIERINI Noah 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% < 1% -
11 OSHIMA Robert 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 18%
12 JONES Brenda L. 100% 98% 78% 41% 11% 1%
13 DOLLARHITE Tommy 100% 96% 58% 17% 2% -
14 WENGER Caleb 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
15 CHEN Allison 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
16 ACHILOV Murod 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
17 XU Mulan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
18 LIU George 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% - -
19 HAN Nathan 100% 97% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
20 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 96% 74% 33% 5% -
21 SONG Ryan 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1% -
22 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
23 DELORENZO Nathan 100% 92% 53% 12% 1% -
24 MELCHER Charles 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
25 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% - -
26 CHOY Ida 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.