TFC April Fence-a-thon

Y-8 Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 9:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HSU Justin 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
2 LEI Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 XIE Chen 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
3 RUAN Alexander 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
5 MIAO Aria 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 6%
6 AN Smiley 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
7 GALANG Audrina 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
8 HAGGAG Zahra 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
9 XIE Caden 100% 99% 91% 50% 5% < 1%
10 CHEN Bennett 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
11 THAI Blakely 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
12 CAO Yinuo 100% 88% 44% 10% 1% -
13 THAI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
14 HONDA Miyuki 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
15 MURDASOV Imran 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
16 QU Alice 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
17 GONG Miya 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
18 NEIHEISEL Ian 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.