7th Annual Precision Invitational RYC and RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHUNG Katie	-	-	1%	14%	47%	38%
2	FU Joy	-	-	2%	13%	39%	38%	9%
3	DESAI Zoya	-	-	-	1%	8%	37%	54%
3	KENSICKI Phoebe	-	-	-	-	1%	16%	83%
5	GOWDA Siyona	-	-	1%	12%	54%	33%
6	SAIFEE Sakina	-	-	2%	17%	49%	32%
7	SAIFEE Zahra	-	-	-	6%	44%	50%
8	YUNG Zoe	-	1%	8%	28%	43%	21%
9	WANG Doreen	-	-	-	-	6%	35%	59%
10	CHOI Jian	-	-	1%	9%	32%	45%	12%
11	DEJOY Leilah	-	-	4%	23%	46%	25%	1%
12	FU Angela	1%	13%	36%	35%	13%	2%
13	FAN Lauren	1%	6%	24%	37%	26%	6%	-
14	LIN Clara	-	-	2%	15%	43%	37%	3%
15	LI Annabelle	-	-	3%	18%	42%	31%	6%
16	CHEN Summer	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	21%
17	KENT Audrey	3%	20%	43%	29%	6%	-
18	POON Taylor	1%	14%	39%	38%	7%	-
19	PEROJO Angie	-	6%	26%	40%	23%	5%
20	ZHANG Anthea Jia Jia	4%	26%	41%	24%	5%	-	-
21	GU Ava	4%	24%	42%	25%	5%	-	-
22	YOU Mina	14%	42%	34%	9%	-	-
23	DAI Claire	1%	11%	36%	40%	12%	1%
24	CAO Alexandra	1%	10%	30%	36%	19%	3%	-
25	LIU Sienna	2%	15%	38%	34%	10%	1%	-
26	SUTTON Sadie	10%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-	-
27	SHIN Ellie	30%	45%	21%	4%	-	-	-
28	YOON Adeline	11%	42%	34%	11%	1%	-
29	PICACHE Camilla	7%	32%	42%	17%	2%	-
30	ARCE BASURCO Juliana	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%	-
31	LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-	-
32	KUK Sophie	1%	7%	28%	42%	19%	3%	-
33	SINGH Aditi	30%	47%	20%	3%	-	-
34	SONI Olivia	23%	45%	26%	5%	-	-	-
35	SHUM KEIRA	59%	34%	7%	1%	-	-	-
36	JOE Everly	27%	46%	22%	4%	-	-
37	CHOI Mackenzie	54%	37%	8%	1%	-	-
38	GREENWELL Mavis Ryn	3%	24%	41%	25%	6%	1%	-
39	RANAT Saira	35%	45%	18%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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