Tucson Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM

University of Arizona - Tucson, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 JACOB Ezra 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 21% 3%
2 CHEN Chang Chun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
3 JACOB Norah 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 7% -
3 FRENZINGER Douglas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
5 SHOVELIN Iain A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 9%
6 MCBRYAN Teresa N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
7 LAURSEN Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
8 FRENZINGER Kate 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
9 IMHOF Adelia J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7% -
10 FRANZ Lyllian 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - - -
11 BARRIOS Sophia 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - - -
12 STRATMANN susanna 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - - -
13 MCBRYAN Pamela A. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - - -
14 SMITH Samuel J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
15 FELDMAN Louis 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - - -
16 GRINFELD Simon 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.