Battle in Space City Spring ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM

University of Houston - Campus Recreation and Wellness Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HOLDEN Helena	-	-	-	-	5%	29%	66%
2	PEI Claire	-	-	-	1%	10%	36%	52%
3	DESAI Eesha	-	-	5%	20%	40%	30%	4%
3	LIN Gianna	-	7%	28%	40%	21%	4%
5	KWON Claire	-	-	4%	15%	33%	34%	13%
6	LI Jasmine	-	-	4%	22%	44%	29%
7	ROMANOV Mia	-	1%	7%	27%	43%	22%
8	ZAVERI Alexis	2%	12%	30%	33%	18%	4%	-
9	RAJ Indra	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
10	VARIPILLI Saanvika	1%	9%	25%	34%	23%	7%	1%
10	MONANI Prarthana	-	3%	15%	33%	34%	14%	2%
12	HU Avery	1%	6%	24%	38%	24%	6%	-
13	KOSIM Irene	-	3%	13%	30%	34%	17%	2%
14	XIAO Ashley	-	1%	8%	30%	43%	19%
15	VEGA-BRANDT Gabriella	-	4%	21%	42%	27%	5%
16	LAU Avery	3%	24%	42%	25%	6%	-
17	SHI Elle	-	1%	9%	32%	42%	16%
18	ZENG Joy	9%	32%	37%	18%	4%	-	-
19	HUANG Selina	-	-	3%	17%	44%	35%
20	LI Elaine	6%	34%	39%	17%	3%	-
21	WU Jennifer	21%	44%	29%	6%	1%	-
22	CHAN Faith Sum Yin	3%	27%	42%	23%	5%	-
23	BEAVERS cole	11%	33%	35%	17%	4%	1%	-
24	ELLMER Ava	11%	32%	35%	18%	4%	-	-
25	HALE Reagan	-	-	2%	10%	28%	40%	21%
26	WU Emma	-	5%	24%	40%	25%	5%
27	ZHANG Avery	4%	20%	35%	28%	11%	2%	-
28	BRINDAVAN Vyahriti	2%	14%	30%	32%	17%	4%	-
29	HWANG Shinbi	-	4%	16%	33%	33%	13%	1%
30	TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	7%	1%
31	ZHANG Joy	2%	19%	40%	29%	9%	1%
32	DEPEW Avery	1%	16%	36%	32%	13%	2%	-
33	YADAGIRI Aditi	25%	41%	25%	7%	1%	-	-
34	LOO Samantha	17%	40%	32%	10%	1%	-
35	CORDOVA Joscelyn	12%	36%	36%	14%	2%	-
36	KWON Allison	4%	22%	37%	27%	8%	1%	-
37	STEPHENS Alice	61%	33%	6%	-	-	-
38	PUAC Penelope	68%	28%	4%	-	-	-
39	RANGEL SANTANA Sophia	31%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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