American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-8 Women's Foil

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAO Evelyn 100% 100% 94% 63% 5%
2 YU Thea 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
3 NADTOCHEVA Vera 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
3 SHEN Madelyn 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
5 KIAYIAS Ava 100% 76% 31% 5% -
6 LI Catherine 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
7 ZHONG Mia 100% 66% 23% 3% -
8 TONTCHEV Victoria 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
9 YAN Michaela 100% 89% 55% 18% 2%
10 MANERE Lillian 100% 88% 48% 12% 1%
11 CHEN Irene 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
12 SUH Olivia 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
13 KOESTERS Victoria 100% 90% 51% 12% 1%
14 ZHANG Bella 100% 91% 61% 23% 3%
15 WANG Qianxun 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
16 SUH Katie 100% 100% 90% 50% 9%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.