American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
2 KIM Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 WANG Carol 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
5 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 20%
6 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
7 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 9%
8 WANG Dina C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 23%
9 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
10 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
12 LIU Qianchen E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 21%
13 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
14 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 37%
15 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
16 ZHAO Olivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
17 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
18 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
19 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 77%
20 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
21 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 2%
22 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
23 REZA Fukaina 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 7% 1%
24 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
25 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
26 ZHU Ella 100% 99% 91% 61% 18% 2%
27 GE Deanna 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
28 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% -
29 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
30 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 92% 56% 14% 1%
31 ZHANG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 20%
32 KUANG Bella 100% 93% 63% 21% 3% -
33 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
34 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
35 HARRIS Parker 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
36 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 96% 64% 10% -
37 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
37 MANGLANI Maya 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3% -
39 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
39 PHAN Logan 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
41 HAO Danica 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
42 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
43 WU Maggie Lei 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
44 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 32%
45 DONG Iris 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% 1%
46 ZHU Alivia 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% 1%
47 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
48 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1% -
49 SON Ayoung 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
50 LIN Katherine 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
51 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 4%
52 ZHU Audrey 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
53 LI Christina 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11% 1%
54 IWERSEN Marte 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
55 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
55 LI Junhan 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4% -
57 SUN Erin 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
58 POLING Katherine 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
59 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 17%
60 CHO Olivia 100% 98% 85% 47% 10% -
61 LI Savannah 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
62 LI Doreen 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
63 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 88% 23% 2% - -
64 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
65 WEN Cynthia 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
66 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
67 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% - -
68 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
69 BO Iris 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
70 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 92% 56% 15% 1%
71 STEWART Isla 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
72 LENZ Phoebe 100% 93% 44% 7% - - -
73 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
74 LEO Jenna 100% 100% 87% 33% 3% -
75 PRINZ-STRATEMAN Matilda 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
75 XING Melly 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
77 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
78 LUO lucy 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
79 BENNETT Emi 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
80 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
81 PEVZNER Sophia 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
82 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
83 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 98% 66% 16% 1% - -
84 KIM Lael 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
85 ZHANG Caroline 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -
86 PAEK Mila 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
87 DUNCAN Kate 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
88 BAULIN Zoya 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% - -
89 MIN Claire 100% 23% 2% - - - -
90 LIN Claire 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
91 FEDER Acadia 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
91 VACCARO Lillian 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
93 BRADSHAW Tamira 100% 88% 47% 12% 1% - -
94 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 84% 41% 9% 1% - -
94 LIU Bella 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
96 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
96 KIRBY Emelie 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
98 WOLF Fiona 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
99 HUDSON Sophie 100% 38% 6% - - - -
100 KUI Ava 100% 22% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.