Apex Novice Cup - April

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YAO Emma 100% 100% 96% 72% 28% 2%
2 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
3 LEE Spencer 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
3 JENSEN Luke 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
5 SANDHU Bani 100% 100% 90% 53% 13%
6 SPARKS EVERETT 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
7 KING Stephan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
8 PERRY Deacon 100% 95% 63% 20% 2%
9 LU Hantian 100% 100% 97% 76% 32% 5%
10 HOIMES Eliana 100% 84% 41% 7% -
11 XU Harry 100% 94% 64% 19% 1%
12 BASH Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
13 LEWIS Ayden 100% 86% 47% 15% 2% -
14 BRILLIANT Mabel 100% 98% 83% 44% 10% -
15 YANG Junbo 100% 89% 53% 16% 2%
16 BEAN Adeline 100% 47% 9% 1% -
17 TANG Olivia 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
18 SMITH Finley 100% 99% 88% 47% 9%
19 PASOTTI Riccardo 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
20 KORMOS Naomi 100% 99% 82% 40% 7%
21 GARWOOD Bryan 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% -
22 IRIZARRY Liya 100% 98% 71% 27% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.