YELFC Spring Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM

YEL Fencing Club - Hopkins, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BODNER Nicholas 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1%
2 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
3 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
3 LAMAR Louis 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
5 NEAS Derek 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2% -
6 YANG Haopeng 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
7 DAVIS Jace 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
8 LAHTI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
9 PHINGPHA Avarie 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
10 MA Sophie 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
11 ZHAN Ethan 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
12 WINTERS Linus 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
13 COUNTERS Bryce 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.