UCLA Okawa Open 2026

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM

UCLA Pardee Gymnasium, John Wooden Center - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
2 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
3 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
4 GADHVI Darius 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
5 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 38%
6 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 45%
7 GUAN Nathan 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 6%
8 SAHAGIAN Izzy C. 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
9 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
10 ROBINSON Dax 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
11 BERTEL Florian 100% 99% 83% 45% 11% -
11 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 100% 95% 63% 9% -
13 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
14 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 100% 94% 65% 22% 3%
15 BECK Eli 100% 99% 90% 54% 10% -
16 KNIGHT Alex 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
17 CHAO Warren 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
17 WONG Alexander 100% 73% 26% 4% < 1% -
19 ZHOU Runda 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
20 WANG Dylan 100% 93% 60% 18% 1% -
21 JENSEN David 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 37%
22 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 98% 80% 37% 7% -
23 LOEFFLER Carl E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 21%
24 NOH Daniel 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
25 LAWRENCE Matthew 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
26 CHEONG Cameron 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% -
27 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
27 BAXTER David 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
29 JUNG WonJoon 100% 100% 78% 38% 9% 1%
30 WOO Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
31 CAO Vincent 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% -
32 CHOI Jung Jin 100% 98% 79% 26% 2% -
33 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
34 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
35 SOKOLOVSKY Boris 100% 96% 72% 31% 5% -
36 CREASON Nicholas 100% 36% 4% - - -
36 FEKETE John 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
38 DINGMAN Nash 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
39 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
39 KOU Mason 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
41 ROSENTHAL Alan 100% 95% 49% 9% - -
42 IÑIGO Ian 100% 100% 94% 63% 20% 2%
42 WANG Lawrence 100% 84% 38% 7% 1% -
44 NIE Shuobo 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
45 FERRIERE Thomas 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 2%
46 ONG David 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
47 JUANG Maximiliano 100% 83% 26% 2% - -
48 RIVERA Logan 100% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.