Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, April 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
2 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
5 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% -
6 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
7 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
8 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
9 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
10 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
11 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 13%
12 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
13 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
14 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
15 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
16 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
17 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
18 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
19 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 2%
20 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
21 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
22 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
23 CASTELO Soleil 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
24 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
25 FAVO Isabella 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
26 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
27 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 75%
28 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 5%
29 CHANG Norah 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
30 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 10% 1%
31 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
32 GAY Sasha 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
33 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 1%
34 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
35 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
36 ZHAO Selena 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
37 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
38 OCA Merci 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
39 DHAR Rana 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
40 KWON Ava 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
41 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 38% 4%
42 WANG Callie 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
43 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
44 PARK Geraldyn Sojung 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
45 KWON Hannah 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
46 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
47 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
48 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
49 LU Elaine 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
50 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
51 HSU Leah 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
52 CHAVAN Arya 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
53 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
54 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
55 KIRBY Skye 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
56 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
57 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
58 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
59 BERMAN greta 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
59 LIN Elaine 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
61 PARK Chloe 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
62 REN Katherine 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
63 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
64 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
65 LAFFY Lily 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% < 1% -
66 SUNG Olivia 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% < 1% -
67 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 2%
68 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 5%
69 HU Anna 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
70 MALEK Zolie 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% -
71 WANG Jiayi 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
72 MCAFEE Jada 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
73 BAIK Sarah 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
74 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 10%
75 BUSH Bethany 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
76 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 86% 48% 13% 2% - -
77 KO Ariel 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
78 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
79 YU Skylar 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
80 KIM Saeren 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
81 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21% 1%
82 MACKAY Katherine 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
83 CHOI Charlotte 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
83 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
85 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
86 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 3%
87 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
88 TONG Laurie 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
89 LONG Jessie 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
89 XIAO Cindy 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
91 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
92 LEOU Korina 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
93 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
94 SINGER Ellery 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
95 LIU kai yin aria 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
96 NG Sophia 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
97 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
98 YUEN Nicole 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% -
99 GOLDIN Nina 100% 99% 88% 58% 19% 2%
100 YU Stella 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
101 KIM Satie 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
102 DUFF Caitlin 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
103 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
104 BORGUETA Madison 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
105 KAUL Tara 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2% -
106 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
107 BARROSO Isabela 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
108 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1% -
109 FUNG Iris 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
110 XU Emily T. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
110 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
110 XIE Nora 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
113 KINKADE Ellie 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
114 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
115 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
115 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
117 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
117 VINOKUR Anita 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
117 YADAV Tishya 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
120 ARNOLD Hali 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
121 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40% 4%
122 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
123 HEATH Isabella 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
124 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
125 ZHAI AMY 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
126 FAN Alexandria 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5% -
127 WEI JoyAnn 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
128 HWANG Charlotte 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
128 MAK Kaitlin 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
130 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
131 CHIANG Melissa 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
132 NING Lynn 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
133 LEE Alyson 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
134 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
135 MUND Ruth 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% -
136 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
137 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% 1%
138 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5% -
139 GONG Joy 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
140 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
141 CHAN Jolene 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
142 HSIEH Lucia 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
143 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
143 CONG Anne 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
145 LIU Hannah 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
146 KANG Ellie 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
147 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
148 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
149 HILD Anya 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
150 DHAR Layla 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
151 CHANG Annette 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
152 FOSS Persephone 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
153 PABIAN Emilia 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
154 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
155 MOON Claire 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.