E & Under Saber & Epee, Unrated Youth Saber

E & Under Mixed Saber

Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Carlisle Fencing Club - Carlisle, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MESSICK Maya - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 2%
2 TUTTLE Jeremy - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
3 PAK Griffin - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
3 MITCHELL Alastair - - 3% 21% 47% 29%
5 CASTILLO Carson 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
6 LEPPO Benjamin 1% 7% 28% 44% 18% 2%
7 THACI Emma 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
8 CERVINO Anthony 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
9 PONTILLO Giulia 29% 46% 21% 4% - -
10 LUPINACCI Alex 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% -
11 BOOSE Noah 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
12 BARTCZAK Michael - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
13 MAGARELLI Anna 11% 40% 38% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.