USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, June 28, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
2 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
3 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
3 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
5 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42%
6 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
7 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
8 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
9 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
10 AHN Gabriella 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
11 TAN Helen 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
12 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
13 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
14 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
15 ZEISS Madison E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
16 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
17 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
19 FEI Ruoqiu 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28% 4%
20 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
21 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
22 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
23 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
24 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 3%
25 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
26 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
27 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
28 CANDESCU Diana 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
29 LEE Brianna J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 6% -
30 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
31 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
32 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
33 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20% 1%
34 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
35 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
36 HAO Grace 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
37 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
38 VIQUEIRA Samantha M. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
39 WEINTRAUB Rei H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
39 PETROVA Kristina 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
41 ZHENG Vivian 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
42 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
43 PARK Rowan M. 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
44 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
45 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
46 REN Olivia Y. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
47 KASI Anisha 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
48 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
49 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
50 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
51 APELIAN Katherine 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
51 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
53 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
54 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
55 GONG Christina S. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
56 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
57 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
58 GIANNESCHI Julia R. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
59 TANG Louise 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
60 KIM Rachael 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
61 LAU Sydnee M. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
62 LIN Annie X. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
63 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
63 THOMPSON Julia T. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
65 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
66 HERNANDEZ Susanne 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
67 ALFONSO Czarina M. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
68 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
69 SHALANSKY Julia B. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
70 LO Ashley 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
71 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
72 KOO Rachel A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 8% -
73 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
73 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
73 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
76 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
77 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
78 SHEN Jasmine N. 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 5% -
79 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
79 BHANOT Gayatri 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
81 WU Catherine 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% - -
82 CHON Samantha 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
83 LI Grace Q. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
84 MAK Tinney 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
85 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
86 MAROTTA Veronica L. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
87 LI Phoebe J. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
88 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
89 MOLHO Sofia 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
90 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
91 MANDOUR Sophia M. 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
92 RASO Sofia G. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
93 BREKER Anika 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
94 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
95 LUKINS Tianji 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
96 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
97 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 79% 38% 10% 2% - -
98 HALL Velma 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
99 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
100 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
101 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
102 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
103 HUNT Tarleton Q. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
104 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
105 CHEN Nicole Y. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
106 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
107 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
108 SEAL Julie T. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
109 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
110 SHANG Andrea 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
111 BANIN Isabelle J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
111 HE Xiangxin 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
113 LEE Alina 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
114 LIN Ashley 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
115 TAN Delphine 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
116 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
117 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
118 FANG Serena 100% 25% 3% - - - -
119 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
120 CAO Arianna L. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
121 QIAN Crystal 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
122 KIM Lauren Hyomin 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
123 YU Seneca 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.