USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, June 30, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
2 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
3 VIE Natalie J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 WANG Elizabeth 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
5 LIANG Jessica 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
6 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
7 SCANLAN Susannah (Susie) 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
8 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 8%
9 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
10 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 96% 82% 55% 23% 5%
11 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
12 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
13 BULAVKO Sonia 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
14 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
15 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
16 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
17 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
18 DANIEL Chloe L. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 2%
19 DING Jiahe (Heidi) 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
20 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
21 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
22 CANDREVA Greta H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
23 KUKADIA Sancchi K. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
24 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
25 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
26 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9%
27 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
28 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
29 CHOI Lyla 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
30 WANG Karen 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
31 HU Grace 100% 96% 78% 47% 19% 4% -
32 CONSTANTINO Lola 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
33 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
34 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
34 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
36 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
36 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
38 MCFADDEN Christa M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
39 LEE Sumin 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
41 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
42 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
43 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
44 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) (Dasha) 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
45 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
46 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
47 GUO ZI SHAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
49 ROBLES Elena 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
50 KWON Athina 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
51 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
52 TANIBAJEVA Rachel L. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
52 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
54 GAO Emily L. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
55 ZOZULYA Christina S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 9%
56 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
57 ROSS Naomi O. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
58 LEE Hanna Y. 100% 97% 81% 52% 22% 5% 1%
59 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 59% 22%
60 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
60 LU Junyao 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
62 GAO Aretha R. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
63 MCLANE Lauren 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
64 ENO Megan E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
65 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
66 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 8%
67 HEDVAT Alexis S. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
68 GAO Cindy 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
69 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
70 TYLER Syd 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 12% 2%
71 SNIDER Margot (Maggie) 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 8% 1%
72 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
73 YEU Irene 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
74 BARNA Isabella 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
75 WU Amelia 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
76 LEE Olive 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
77 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
78 KIMURA Kimberley H. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
79 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
80 KIM Diane E. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
81 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
82 KULKARNI Diya 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
83 PYO Yunice 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
84 TAYLOR Audrey Y. 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
84 LEE Michelle 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
86 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
86 PROCTOR Sara J. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
88 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
89 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 96% 83% 56% 24% 5%
90 KANG Dahyun 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
91 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
92 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
93 WANG anne 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
94 WOLF Isabella A. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
95 PROVENZA Hannah G. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
97 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
98 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
99 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
100 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
101 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
102 MO Victoria 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
103 PATURU Meghana 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
104 KETKAR Mallika 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
105 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
106 COBERT Helen G. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
107 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
108 YOON Julia J. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
109 WU Fan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
110 LEE kyungmin 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
111 BARRY Julia E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
112 LIN Katie Y. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
113 LAANSOO Karen 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% -
113 DIB Vanessa 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
113 GREGORY Elizabeth 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2%
116 CHU Audrey 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
117 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
118 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
120 WANG Nora 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
121 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
122 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
122 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
124 HILL Gabrielle (Gabby) M. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
125 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 85% 51% 20% 5% 1% -
126 ADAMS KIM Madeline 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
127 MCNEILL Claire A. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
128 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
129 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
130 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
131 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
131 NI Emma 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
133 MOHABIR Ariane 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
134 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
135 LIVERANT Jordan S. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
136 BRILL Sophie 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
137 LIN Anna F. 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
138 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
139 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
139 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
141 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
142 WEISS Talia L. 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.