Event Results
PhilDiv 2026 Nationals Qualifier: Division 2/3Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CZACHOROWSKI Mark | V D V D D V | V V V | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 2 | SPECTER Luka | V V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| 3 | WARD Evan | V V V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 4 | MCCANDLISH Owen | V D V D V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 5 | SCHMIDT Paxton | D D V V D V | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 6 | YU Kenneth | D V D D D V | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 7 | HOXHA Kevt'her | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |