The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Senior Men's Saber

Emik Kaidanov Memorial TournamentPool Heatmap

Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 3:30 PM Nova Fencing Club · Falls Church, VA, USA
18 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NIL Michael Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 50%
2 ARIAS Cesar A 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
3 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 12%
3 LIU Jayden 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
5 JOHNSON Leland 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% -
6 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 90% 40% 4% -
7 CAI Xingzhi 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
8 PIPKE Garrett 100% 92% 27% 3% - -
9 WANG Max 100% 100% 95% 59% 10% 1%
10 RINALDI Savio 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
11 BENSON Jacob 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
12 BUKZIN Alan 100% 93% 50% 13% 1% -
13 BEATY Chad A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 34%
14 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 91% 57% 17% 2%
15 MOON Noah 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
16 MALNATI Donald H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
17 URQUILLA Devin 100% 30% 3% - - -
18 TEPLESKY Sasha 100% 15% - - - -