Event Results
Capital Fencing Academy Musketeer Circuit #3Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | THOMAS Tre | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | HU Emily | V V V V V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| 3 | RADELL Zoe | V D V V D | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 3 | SADHU Mira | V V V V D | V V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 5 | BICKLING Edison | V V D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 6 | CHEUNG Clara | D D V V V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 7 | CHANG Eleanor | D V V D V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 8 | HUANG Joseph | V D D V D D | V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 9 | ARCHULETA Felipe | V V V V V | D | 1.9 | 5 | +3.1 |
| 10 | HOWELL Vivienne | D D V D V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 11 | KASSAYE Abi | V D D D V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 12 | NEPPALLI Dhruv | D D V V D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 13 | KETCHUM Henry | D V D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 14 | JEON Karis | D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 15 | ZHANG Ann | D V D D D V | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 16 | ZHU Jackie | V D D D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 17 | ROSENBLATT-HOERST Simon | D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 18 | BROWN Nash | D D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 19 | WASSERMAN Jackson | D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |