USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Women's Saber

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 10:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
2 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
5 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
6 DUNGEY Amelia S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
7 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
8 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
9 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
10 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
11 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
12 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
13 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
14 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
15 BOIS Adele 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
16 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
17 DI PERNA Chiara I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
18 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
19 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
20 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
21 WILSON Isley N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
22 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
23 FLOREZ Melissa 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
24 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
25 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
26 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
27 WEBER Juliana I. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
28 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
29 CHING Sapphira S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
29 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
31 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
32 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
33 CHEEMA Sophia 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
34 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
35 WU Cici 100% 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% < 1%
36 KATZ Anat 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
37 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
38 BEALE Zoe M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
39 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
40 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
41 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
42 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
43 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
44 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
44 CHERNOMORSKY Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
46 TANG Annie L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
47 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
48 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
49 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
50 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
51 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
52 OXENSTIERNA Carolina 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% -
53 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
54 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
55 KONG Isabel 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
56 DARINGA Arianna 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 7% 1%
57 HURST Kennedy 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
58 CASHMAN Natalie 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
59 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
60 CHAN Audrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
61 GIRARDI Aemilia 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
62 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 26%
63 REDDY Shreya 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
64 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
65 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
66 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
67 YAP Madeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
68 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20% 2%
69 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 2%
70 CANNON Sophia E. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
71 KOO Samantha 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
72 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 2%
73 D'ORAZIO Isabella 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
74 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
75 SIMONIAN Olivia A. 100% 98% 66% 24% 4% - -
76 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
77 XI Shining 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
78 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
78 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
80 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
81 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
82 SUN Alyssa 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
83 JULIEN Michelle 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
84 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
85 BALMASEDA Sabrina F. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
86 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
86 LU Amy 100% 75% 36% 10% 2% - -
88 YANG Angelina 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
89 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
89 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
91 IQBAL Sulphia 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
92 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
93 PATEL Riya 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
94 JIN Olivia P. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
95 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 89% 45% 11% 1% - -
96 KIM Sujin 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
97 SU Emma 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
98 YUAN Greta 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
99 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
100 LIN Angela 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
101 KITTLE Lauren 100% 25% 3% - - -
102 WU Erica L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
103 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
104 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
104 DHAR Aamina 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
106 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
107 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
108 HOVERMAN Hannah A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
108 WANG Elsabella Y. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
110 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
111 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
111 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
113 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
114 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
115 TODD Phoebe 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
115 BENTOLILA Thalia 100% 68% 20% 3% - - -
117 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
118 XU Ellen 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
119 MERRIAM Katherine I. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
119 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 94% 66% 29% 6% 1%
121 SADOVA Olga 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
121 SINHA Anika 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
121 CHIANG Emily 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
121 LEVITIS Danielle 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
125 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
126 SUN Jialing 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
127 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
128 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
129 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
130 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 97% 64% 23% 4% -
131 YUN Maya 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
132 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
132 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
134 SCHIKORE Anna M. 100% 98% 82% 38% 9% 1% -
135 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
135 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
137 NEIBART Fiona 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
138 WANG Jianning 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
139 OWENS Celine A. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 7% 1%
140 MADA Skye 100% 77% 25% 3% - - -
140 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
142 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
143 HILD Nisha 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
144 CHEN Xinyan 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
145 SHI Cathleen 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
146 JENKINS Scotland 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
147 NI Sharon 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
148 JAVERI Amaya 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
149 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
150 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 100% 33% 5% - - - -
151 GRINBERG Aliya 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
152 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2%
153 FU Linqian (Helen) 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
153 PANIGRAHI Sophia 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
155 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
156 BIAS Lailah N. 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
157 PLONKA Kaley V. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
158 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
159 WEI Vivian W. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
159 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
159 LIGH Karis 100% 37% 5% - - - -
162 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
162 LIN Selena 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
164 SHANNON Sara 100% 9% - - - - -
164 HAN Lauren 100% 65% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.