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USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
3 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
3 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 9%
5 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
7 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
8 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
9 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
10 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
11 TAYLOR Kiera S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
12 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
13 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
14 LEACH Meka A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
15 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
16 GAURIAT Jade S. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
17 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
18 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
19 ZHANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
20 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
21 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
22 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
23 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
24 MIN MAGNOLIA 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35% 5%
25 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
26 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
27 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
28 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 9%
29 NGUYEN Kira 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
30 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
31 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15% 1%
32 BARBARA Camille 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 21% 4%
33 HESS Heidi J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
34 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
35 GREGORY Aleksandra 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
36 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 2%
37 LU Samantha R. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
38 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
39 YAO KATHARINE 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
40 BOHRER Shira 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 7% -
41 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
42 SUN Ruilin 100% 99% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
43 PEELER Julia 100% 69% 22% 4% < 1% - -
44 ORTEGA Ivanna S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
45 ELSTON Sophia 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
46 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
47 HAU Olivia 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
47 GUJJA Misha 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
49 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
50 LO Sabrina S. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
51 LEEDER Elizabeth 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
52 POPOVICI Alina B. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
53 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
54 ODOM Megan A. 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
55 PECK Maia A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12% 1%
56 KEE Bea Isabelle 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
57 LEE Scarlett 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
58 HU Chelsea 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
59 LABRACHE Ella P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
60 YANG Alisa 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% - -
61 NEMETH Katherine 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
62 LEE Natasha 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
63 FURMAN Maria 100% 99% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
64 HOOPER Lucy 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
65 YU Bailey 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
66 REMEZA Alissa 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
67 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
68 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
69 RANDLEMAN Teresa 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
70 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
71 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
72 KIM Jayna 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% - -
73 MUN Brianna K. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
74 QURESHI Nisa 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
75 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
76 CHOI Grace 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
77 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
78 YPHANTIDES Anthi 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
79 QIU Emily 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
80 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
81 DUAN Annie S. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
82 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 7% 1%
83 FARICY Aislynn A. 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
84 YERIAN Ayda 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
85 CHANG Celine A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
86 QUIN Kathleen J. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
87 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
88 PERVEZ Zaynab 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 6% -
89 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% - -
90 SKOURLETOS Angelina 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
90 WONG Bella 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
92 MARTINO Alessandra 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
93 LIN Elaine 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
94 HSU Adele Y. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
94 PATIL Amulya 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
96 CASPAR Margot 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
97 LIU Nicole 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% - -
98 BROWN Hannah 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
98 ZALEWSKI Rosalyn 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
100 XIA Amy 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
101 LEE Olivia 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
102 MACEY Hadley 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
103 GUPTA Sanya 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
104 SYKES Elynor 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
104 DAVIS Cate 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
106 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
107 ZHU Serene M. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
107 NELSON Grace E. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
109 LEE Rachel 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
110 YOU Isabel B. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
111 YEH Megan 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
112 PULLEN Ayah 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
112 DALEY Keira 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
114 TYTELL Elizabeth 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
115 GEVA Eliana 100% 73% 27% 5% 1% - -
116 TAVAREZ Kayla 100% 64% 20% 2% - - -
118 JARONIK Izzie 100% 32% 5% - - - -
119 SOIN Kaira 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.