USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Saber

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAE EMMELINE 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
2 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
3 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
3 NEIBART Fiona 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 ABOUDAHER Janna A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
6 KOO Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
7 SU Emma 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
8 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 8%
9 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
10 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
11 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
12 SCHMITT Alana P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
13 HAYES Grace Y. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
14 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
15 WANG Elsabella Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
16 NORMAN Lillia M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
17 DARINGA Arianna 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
18 JIN Olivia P. 100% 100% 89% 58% 22% 3%
19 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
20 TRAN Thya K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
21 FISHER Nicole C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
22 PATEL Riya 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
23 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
24 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
25 TOM Kristen Noelle C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
26 DHAR Aamina 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
27 MERRIAM Katherine I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
28 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
29 PLONKA Kaley V. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
30 D'ORAZIO Isabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
31 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 3%
32 RHIE Lena 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
33 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
34 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
35 GUZMAN Claudia 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
36 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
37 MILLER Mattea K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
38 LOCKETT Audrey 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 8% 1%
39 BINSTOCK Mari I. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
39 MAYS Hailey 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
41 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
42 MEIEROVICH Sophie 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
43 WHEELER Kira 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
44 CHEN Chloe Y. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
45 NI Sharon 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
46 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
46 KITTLE Lauren 100% 99% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
48 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
49 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7%
50 ROBINSON Stella 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 7%
51 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3%
51 NOBREGA Carolina S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
53 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 22%
54 CHIANG Emily 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
55 WU Michelle 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
56 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4%
56 HURST Kennedy 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
58 TSAI Anna A. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
59 GRINBERG Aliya 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
60 SKAGGS Natalie M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
61 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
62 NIELSEN Dianna M. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
63 BIAS Lailah N. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
63 SHIH Christina 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
65 SCHIKORE Anna M. 100% 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
66 BILILIES Sophia 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
67 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% - -
68 PETE Gillian C. 100% 100% 95% 66% 24% 3%
69 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
70 OSBORN Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
71 SUN Alyssa 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
72 HOLMES Emma 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
73 ARNIPALLI Hamsika 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
73 LITTLE Shannon 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
75 KIM Sujin 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
76 EDEN Rosie 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
77 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
78 BHOGAL Sukhleen 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
79 WEBB Maud 100% 41% 6% - - -
80 DANIELS Erica 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
81 PANIGRAHI Sophia 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
82 HAN Lauren 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
83 BATRA Simran 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
84 ZENG Xiaoyi 100% 99% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
84 YANG Yutong 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
86 SIDDIQUI Reem 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
87 CHEN Grace 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
88 WOODY Sophia 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% -
89 WILLEMSE Jamie 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
90 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
91 MORAGA Christiana 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2%
92 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 93% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
93 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
94 AHMED Amina 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
95 SIMONIAN Olivia A. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
96 GORDON Sarah 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
97 GLUCK Ariel 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
97 PI Sophia 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
99 FOGARTY Katie 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
100 BOWDEN Ms Hope A. 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% - -
101 LIGH Karis 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
102 BOFFOLI Sarah 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
102 SHINH Esha 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% - -
104 REINKE Ariana 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
105 ELDER Rhiannon C. 100% 64% 17% 2% - - -
106 WOODY Chloe 100% 89% 47% 7% - -
107 MESCHIA Maggie 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
107 OSTROWSKI Annika 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
109 HUANG Tina 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
110 DUDLEY Gayle 100% 23% 2% - - - -
111 MERRIMAN Abby 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
112 MCINTOSH Uma 100% 78% 35% 7% - - -
113 HEARNE Rosa 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
115 WONG Isabelle S. 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.