Event Results
Napa Valley CrushSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SWAIN Taylor | V V V V V V | V V V | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 2 | MITCHELL Ellerie | V V V D V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 3 | BRIGGS Jacob | D D V D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 3 | SILVER Nicole | V V D V D | V V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 5 | NABI Mikhail | V V V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 6 | NGUYEN Tristan | D V V V V D | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 7 | WANG Ellen | D V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 8 | CARR Lucas | D D V D V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 9 | CHILDS Addison | V V D D D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 10 | MESSINA Liam | D V D D V | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 11 | BROWN-LEWIN Noah Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 12 | BLANCETT Molly | D D D V V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 13 | HOOTEN Colby | D D D D D V | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 14 | SILVER James | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |