Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 2 | YAMASAKI Kyle A. | V D V V V V | V V V V D | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| 3 | BREWER Andrew K. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | STOLZ Robert | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 5 | MILLER Kevin W. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 6 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | NORTON Brendan E. | V V D V V D | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 8 | HELGE James R. | D V D V V | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 9 | RYAN Christopher | V V D V V | V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 10 | RYAN Seth C. | V D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 11 | DAVIS Andrew | D V V D V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 12 | JEFFERIES Jonathan J. | D V V V D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 13 | HEPLER Sarah | V D V V D | V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 14 | TARBUSKOVICH III John | D V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 15 | ALLGEIER Peter | D V D V D V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 16 | MA Victor | D V V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 17 | NGUYEN Steven | V D V D V | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | ARGYRIS Michael A. | D V D V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 19 | LOUIE Jason | V D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 20 | LIU Bobby P. | D V D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 21 | TAJBACK Pedram | V D V D D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 22 | ZIEBART Jeremy J. | D V V D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 23 | RYAN Minhuey | D D D V V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 24 | HILL Andrew W. | D D D V V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 25 | SOLETI Giovanni | V V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 26 | HOFMAN Haejung | V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 27 | WALBERT Charlotte B. | V D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 28 | LEONARDINI Barry M. | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 29 | BENNETT Peter | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 30 | CHEN Steve | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 31 | LOUIE Sarah | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 32 | FASSETT Siobhan | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.