Event Results

Junior Men's Foil

2026 Bay State GamesSurprise Map

Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM Boston Fencing Club · Boston, MA, USA

34 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	WU Brian	V V V V V	V V V V V	4.9	5	+0.1
2	LI Aaron	V V V D V	V V V V D	4.7	4	-0.7
3	XU Ethan	V V V D V	V V V D	4.5	4	-0.5
3	ZHAO Brian	V V V V	V V V D	3.0	4	+1.0
5	HOU Gaven	V V V V	V V D	2.9	4	+1.1
6	ABRAMKIN Tim	V D V V V	V V D	3.8	4	+0.2
7	ZHAI Alex	V V D V D	V V D	2.9	3	+0.1
8	TANG Terry	D V D V	V V D	3.5	2	-1.5
9	STAFFORD Gareth	V V V V V	V D	3.5	5	+1.5
10	XU Nathan	V V V V V	V D	3.7	5	+1.3
11	SUSANTO William	V D V V V	V D	3.1	4	+0.9
12	WAYBRIGHT Matteo	V D V V V	V D	2.8	4	+1.2
13	SHAO Eric	D V V V	V D	3.5	3	-0.5
14	ZHONG Kingsley	D V D V V	V D	3.0	3	-
15	SFINTESCU Alex	D V V V D	V D	3.0	3	-
16	FORTES PINA Adrian	V D V D D	V D	2.3	2	-0.3
17	QIAN Zekai	D V V V	D	1.5	3	+1.5
18	YANG Dylan	D V D V V	D	3.6	3	-0.6
19	HU Daniel	V D V D D	D	1.5	2	+0.5
20	SUN Nathan	D V D D V	D	1.6	2	+0.4
21	ROPER Griffin	D V D V D	D	1.5	2	+0.5
22	KALISH James	D D V D V	D	2.1	2	-0.1
23	HU Michael	D D D V	D	1.8	1	-0.8
24	CELESTE Ezra	V D D D	D	1.2	1	-0.2
25	TIBBETTS Justin	V D D D	D	1.7	1	-0.7
26	GALLO John	D V D D	D	0.1	1	+0.9
27	TIAN Dylan	D D D V D	D	1.6	1	-0.6
28	KROGER James	D V D D D	D	0.7	1	+0.3
29	MACCIOLI Daniel	V D D D D	D	0.4	1	+0.6
30	JABLOKOV Roman	D D D D D	D	1.9	0	-1.9
31	MASON Frederick	D D D D D	V D	1.1	0	-1.1
32	CUI Mason	D D D D D	V D	0.3	0	-0.3
33	REN Ryan	D D D D	D	0.8	0	-0.8
34	MARCOUX Alexander	D D D D D	D	1.7	0	-1.7

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

Outcome Surprises