Event Results

Senior Men's Épée

2026 Bay State GamesSurprise Map

Sunday, June 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM Boston Fencing Club · Boston, MA, USA
37 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MELCHER Jack H. V V V V V V V V V V 4.8 5 +0.2
2 FEINBERG James Y. V V V V D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
3 SANTOS Antonio K. V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
3 TRAN Spencer V V V V D V V V D 4.0 4 -
5 BRADSHAW Carter V V V V V V V D 2.6 5 +2.4
6 MOSKOWITZ Martin V V D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
7 MCFARLAND Kai V D D V V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
8 ECKERT Kevin M. D D V D V V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
9 GLUSHKOV David V D V D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
10 WANG Zichun V D V V D V D 3.7 3 -0.7
11 KABA Elias D D V V V V D 3.0 3 -
12 WILSON Ian G. D D V V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
13 ZHANG Jonathan D D V V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
14 LEE Harrison V V D D D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
15 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan D V D V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
16 BUSH Thomas V D V D D V D 3.7 2 -1.7
17 O'BRIEN Eamon V V V V D D 2.7 4 +1.3
18 XIE Brandon V V V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
19 SPRINGER Michael V V D V D D 4.1 3 -1.1
20 YELIZAROV Vladislav V V D D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
21 MASSE Dean D D V V V D D 1.5 3 +1.5
22 ACHILOV Murod D D V D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
23 WHITE Aidan V D D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
24 PAN Anthony D V V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
25 WITHERELL Logan V D D D V D 0.6 2 +1.4
26 WENGER Caleb D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
27 ZELIN Sam J. D D V D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
28 LIU George D V D V D V D 0.9 2 +1.1
29 HAN Nathan D V D V D V D 0.5 2 +1.5
30 CHUKWU Mark V V D D D D V D 0.6 2 +1.4
31 ZHENG Yicheng Will V D D D D V D 1.0 1 -
32 SANTOS Felipe D D D D V D V D 4.2 1 -3.2
33 HADDLETON Russell W. D V D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
34 MCWILLIAMS Nathan D V D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
35 EGHIAN Armen D D V D D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
36 MAURA FERNANDEZ Luis Guillermo D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
37 SAMBROOK Roger C. D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%