8th Annual Little Musketeers RYC & RJC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Torrance, CA - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	NGUYEN Tallulah	-	-	2%	11%	29%	39%	20%
2	BARBARA Camille	-	1%	10%	32%	40%	17%
3	LO Sabrina S.	-	-	5%	22%	46%	27%
3	YPHANTIDES Anthi	-	1%	7%	24%	41%	28%
5	LEE Rachel	1%	10%	27%	36%	21%	5%
6	KIM Jayna	1%	7%	28%	41%	21%	3%
7	PACHECO Evangeline	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
8	PONCE Scarlette	1%	9%	27%	38%	22%	3%
9	HUANG Lanlan	2%	12%	30%	33%	18%	5%	-
10	KAUSHISH Sara	-	6%	26%	40%	23%	4%
11	BUSH emma	-	2%	13%	35%	37%	12%
12	BENNETT Vienne	8%	29%	37%	21%	5%	-
13	WANG Angelina	21%	40%	29%	9%	1%	-
14	LEE Camilla	6%	30%	39%	20%	4%	-
15	LEE Olivia	2%	16%	34%	32%	13%	2%
16	NOYES Haley Mariam	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	5%
17	MOHEBI Neeka	2%	14%	31%	31%	17%	4%	-
18	WANG Victoria	5%	24%	37%	25%	8%	1%
19	WOLTERBEEK Elizabeth	1%	12%	33%	36%	16%	2%
20	LANGEVIN Sophie	-	4%	17%	35%	33%	12%
21	ZHOU kaitlyn	3%	21%	39%	29%	8%	1%
22	WANG Ziqi	13%	38%	34%	13%	2%	-
23	HASIM Eurietta	6%	27%	38%	22%	6%	1%	-
24	YUMIACO Nylah	-	2%	11%	29%	36%	19%	4%
25	HSIU Elizabeth	52%	38%	9%	1%	-	-
26	RHEE Victoria	7%	26%	36%	23%	6%	-
27	HAKAKHA Ava	1%	12%	32%	36%	16%	3%
28	MENDOZA zoie	-	1%	6%	20%	35%	29%	9%
29	PAPAZIAN Jacqueline	22%	42%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
30	MONTEMAYOR Morgan	8%	27%	37%	22%	6%	1%
31	CHO Enma	11%	35%	36%	16%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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