Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
2 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
3 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
3 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
6 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
7 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
8 SENIC Adeline 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
9 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
10 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
11 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
12 FU Qihan 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
13 LEE Lavender 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
14 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
15 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
16 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% -
17 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
18 WILLIS Fletcher L. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
19 SEO Irene Y. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
20 SHA Yi Ling 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
21 BASSIK Eva 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 4%
22 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
23 COOPER Piper W. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
24 WEI Vika 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
25 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
26 WANG Yudi 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
27 KOKES Gwendolen 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
28 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
29 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% -
30 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% -
31 BRANDON Fionnoula 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.