The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2019 Equinox Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 9, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Valley Southwoods - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUVOROV Yuly - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
2 BROOKS Zachary B. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
3 MUSGRAVE James D. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
3 CASTLE Aaron 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
5 CRAWSHAW Ian R. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
6 BEATTY Nicholas (Nick) E. - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
7 WATSON Alexander G. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
8 PEREZ Bernardo A. 1% 5% 16% 29% 30% 16% 3%
9 MONTGOMERY Tyler - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
10 PAINE Evan J. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
11 OVERBEEK Brennon 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
12 YOUNG Colton W. 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
13 ARMBRUSTER David - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
14 KEESLER Michael 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
15 ROBERTSON Lily 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
16 DAVIDSON Carl D. 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
17 GRATZ Quinn - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
18 JOYCE Andy W. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
19 SOARES Tyrus 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 2%
20 TIERNEY Luke 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
21 STOECKEL Sofia I. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
23 KUHN Jeffrey 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
24 KNIGHT Jesse 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
25 ANDERSON Nora E. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
26 OSBORN Matthew W. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
27 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
29 GRIMALDI Evalina 2% 13% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
30 ZOLINSKI Sarah E. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
31 MORABE Maria L. 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
32 KEESLER Emma 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
33 LEWIS Tracie 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
34 NEHRING Troy D. 3% 19% 38% 31% 9% -
35 KLUCZYNSKI Mike k. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.